Extraterrestrial
artificial intelligences and humanity’s cosmic future: Answering the Fermi
paradox through the construction of a Bracewell-Von
Neumann AGI Tomislav Miletić Journal of Evolution and
Technology - Vol. 25 Issue 1 – June 2015 -
pgs 56-73 A probable solution of
the Fermi paradox, and a necessary step in humanity’s cosmic development, is
the construction of a Bracewell-Von Neumann (BN)
Artificial General Intelligence (AGI). The use of BN probes is the most plausible method of initial galactic
exploration and communication for advanced ET civilizations, and our own cosmic
evolution lies firmly in the utilization of, and cooperation with, AGI agents. To
establish these claims, I explore the most credible developmental path from
carbon-based life forms to planetary civilizations and AI creation. I consider the
likely physical characteristics of extraterrestrial AI probes and propose ways
to predict their behavior. Lastly, I ponder the possible trajectories for humanity’s
cosmic future. 1. Introduction: the Fermi paradox When Fermi famously
stated his question in the 1950s, advanced
extraterrestrials were imagined as beings of flesh and blood,
exploring the galaxy in saucer-like space ships, and beaming signals from
their home worlds. A decade later, the SETI project was initiated with the hope
of receiving a transmission from a distant ET civilization through radio
communications (Cocconi and Morrison 1959).
Unfortunately, the radio silence (Brin 1983) persists. Without a decidedly
unambiguous signal of intelligent ET origin, we are forced to consider other
approaches to SETI, especially those that are in line with contemporary
advances in sciences. These approaches can be separated into two groups: planetary
and extraplanetary (re)search. The planetary approach
includes such novel and noteworthy examples as inspecting our DNA for encoded
messages, searching for a shadow alien biosphere, and listening for ET on the internet (Harrison 2010). The extraplanetary
approach focuses on the search for a general class of technological artifacts
as well as manifestations and products of advanced ET civilizations in our
planetary vicinity and beyond (Bradbury et al. 2011). Although the planetary
approach remains valuable, our best chances may lie with the extraplanetary approach. Within that context, it is time
for us to move on from the radio paradigm. As numerous voices have suggested,
the most efficient means of intergalactic communication would most likely occur
by means of a kind
of space-faring artificial intelligence usually termed the Bracewell-Von
Neumann probe. Since this is one of the most likely galactic scenarios, we
should commence a collaboration between the AI and
SETI fields to ensure the possibility of creating our own Bracewell-Von
Neumann agent in the foreseeable future. In
the following pages, I will first take a brief look at the current state of
astronomical sciences. The aim here is to establish the galactic requirements
and most probable outcomes of planetary biological evolution, especially with
regard to intelligent life. Second, I will identify the requirements for a
technological civilization and argue that the driving factor of cultural
evolution – the “Intelligence Principle” – should guide every ET
civilization toward the goals of space exploration, AI creation, and possibly
even postbiology. Before concluding this discussion, I
will examine the various possibilities of ET culture that should be reflected,
at least in part, in the programming of extraterrestrial artificial
intelligence (ETAI). Lastly, I will ponder the goals of our own AI research within
the context of galactic exploration and ET communication. 2. From biological to artificial
intelligence – the probable path 2.1. Biophysical requirements The past decades have
shown tremendous progress in astrobiology, which aims to answer the questions
of “how life originated on Earth, whether there is life elsewhere in our solar
system and beyond, and what the future holds for life” (O’Malley-James and Lutz
2013, 95). We have come to learn that, for life to develop, certain specific
conditions are needed. Sciences such as geology, geochemistry, astronomy, and
planetology have helped us establish the requirements for life’s emergence and
sustainment, and evolutionary sciences explain the possibilities of
multicellular evolution. Although we have no other example with which
to compare our planet’s biological and cultural history, we are aware of
some crucial points required for the evolution of life and the rise of an
intelligent civilization capable of space travel. I will try to portray this
narrative by showing that there exists a universal evolutionary route from
carbon-based biochemistry to intelligent planetary life and its cultural
evolution leading to extraplanetary and galactic
exploration through the creation of artificial intelligences. Let’s start with the
basics. Life needs to be able to carry, transform, and inherit information. For
this, a physical element with a complex structure is required. As far as we
know, carbon is the most suitable of the available elements. There are numerous reasons for this. One is carbon’s ability to form bonds
with other atoms. The ability to interactively engage chemical bonds –
and particularly to form double or triple bonds with other atoms – allows
carbon to become highly present (more than 75 per cent) within the entirety of
interstellar and circumstellar molecules (Henning and Salama 1998). This
allows it to form an extraordinary range of complex molecules. For example, polycyclic
aromatic hydrocarbons (PAHs) contain 2-10% of all carbon in space. Indeed, PAHs
are among the most common and abundant polyatomic molecules in the
visible universe (Ehrenfreund and Sephton 2006). Significantly, when subjected to UV radiation, PAHs are transformed into
biogenic complex organics, making them one of the best possible candidates for
life’s initial building blocks (Wickramasinghe and Trevors 2013). Additionally, simulations in prebiotic
chemistry and meteoritic carbon monomer findings testify that carbon-based
biochemical traits (homochirality, α amino acid configuration, β sheet structure) represent universal motifs
of life (Davila and McKay 2014). Still, there could exist alternative biochemistries such as those based on
silicon, since silicon also has the ability to form sufficiently large
macromolecules. Because it requires liquid ammonia or nitrogen as a solvent,
some scientists even look toward Saturn’s largest moon, Titan,
theorizing a possible surface chemistry based on silicon (Bains 2004). But
there are major obstacles to silicon-based
life. For example, silicon lacks the ability to form double bonds with as wide an
array of atoms as carbon, resulting in decreased distribution and complexity-forming
capabilities. However, the most important obstacle for silicon-based life is
that silicon cannot use water as a solvent. The importance of water
lies not only in the primary role it provides for the evolution of carbon-based
organisms, but also in a crucial geological effect: the softening and deforming
of the lithosphere, which results in the subduction of the crust and the formation
of plate tectonics. Recent discoveries have revealed the importance of plate
tectonics as one of the most important geological systems for the emergence and
sustainability of complex life on planets (Fishbaugh
et al. 2007). Specifically, the
carbonate-silicate cycle keeps the atmospheric volume of carbon dioxide
relatively uniform, which in turn maintains the temperature range required for
the appearance and evolution of multicellular life. Plate tectonics also keeps
the magnetic field operational by cooling the planet’s interior. A magnetic field’s
importance lies in its ability to reroute dangerous extraplanetary
radiation including solar wind exposure. If Earth’s magnetic field were to stop
working, the atmosphere would erode and allow UV radiation to punch through,
heating up the mantle and destabilizing surface liquid water. Needless to say,
all of this would reduce the chances for life’s arrival. If life is already present on a planet, it would severely limit the
diversification of the planet’s biosphere. In addition to the
necessity of water and a stable temperature range (Rospars
2010), the evolution of carbon-based life requires an abundant and easily
available energy source. The best source is a solar one. Although other sources,
such as geothermal or radioactive disequilibria, could support multicellular
evolution, they simply cannot match the output of solar energy (Benner et al.
2010). To use solar energy effectively, evolution employs the
photosynthetic approach, which utilizes a quantum wavelike process for maximum
efficiency in energy utilization (Engel
et al. 2010). In ensuring the highest energy intake, photosynthesis
supports a greater development of complexity and productivity, and greater
biological diversity both on the seafloor and in water (O’Malley-James and Lutz
2013; Nisbet et al. 2007). The photosynthetic process also opens a superior path for
multicellular development, because it creates most of the planetary oxygen as
well as biologically useful carbon (Iverson 2006, 97), while also providing the
energy required by multicellular organisms with various skeletal structures and
modes of locomotion (Cockell 2007; Knoll 2003; Paine
2011). Ultimately, the development of photosynthesis may also be required for
the evolution of intelligence. 2.2. Evolution of intelligence, culture, and technology If life is to survive and develop into intelligent life, it needs to adapt to unstable environments and to
generate additional complexity. For this to happen, it needs to evolve through
the process of natural selection (Dawkins 2010, 371) or perhaps by a process of
“environmental conditions that are continuously creating different life forms,
or similar life forms with adapted traits” (National Research Council 2010, 212).
Since the latter option should be taken as extremely rare, or even faulty, when
compared to the mechanism of natural selection, natural selection is “the
fundamental mechanism for the evolution of initial life forms and subsequently
intelligence in the universe” (Bedau and Cleland,
120). This leads us to
conclude that purely informational or synthetic robotic life
forms are not expected to arise from the evolutionary process and are
not the starting point of intelligence. Rather, they are products of additional
cultural and technological evolution. In other words, synthetic, robotic life
forms are produced by carbon-based evolved intelligences and not the other way
around. Still, even if
intelligence is most likely to be achieved through a process of carbon-based
biological evolution, we cannot claim with certainty that intelligence is a
convergent feature of universal evolution (Rospars
2010). What we can affirm is that intelligence, as a product of the
evolutionary process, is a step in the advancement of biosystems
that develop complex structures with greater diversity, energy, and
hierarchical levels (Ekstig 2010; Toussaint and
Schneider 1998; Tessera and Hoelzer
2013). Our own example shows that human-like intelligence is not entirely
qualitatively different from the intelligence of other animals on our planet: Contributions in ethology and animal psychology have
recognized aspects of imitation, theory of mind, grammatical–syntactical
language and consciousness in non-human primates and other large-brained
mammals as well. (Roth and Dicke 2005, 256) The difference between
human-like intelligence and animal intelligence lies in the level of evolved
abilities, particularly the ability for temporal analysis with motor behavior,
action planning, thinking, and language (Macphail and
Bolhuis 2001; Fuster 2002).
These evolutionary advantages allowed our species to find and extract energy
from difficult-to-acquire high calorie foods, which fostered the growth in body
and brain size, thereby fueling an additional rise of intelligence. Likewise, biological
improvements changed social life, with increased longevity, prolonged
maturation, and a large commitment to learning inside a socially organized
group (Kaplan et al. 2000). Consequently, social interactions gave rise to
selection pressures for advanced cognition, “supporting the view that the
transition to the cooperative groups seen in the most intelligent species on
our planet may be the key to their intellect” (McNally et. al. 2012, 3033).
Finally, social cooperation led to further improvement and transfer of
technological knowledge to future generations (Bjorklund
2006). Technology is therefore
as much a cultural force as it is an evolutionary development. But for a
technological civilization to arise, certain planetary conditions are needed.
Luckily, these are the same as those required for the evolution of complex
intelligent life. They include a planet with a metal core, an abundance of
metals throughout the core, solid ground with the availability of solar power
as the most efficient, abundant, and long lasting energy resource, and a stable
climate. It is plausible to
reason that if the conditions on other planets are life-friendly, “life forms
might evolve in hierarchical organization, size, diversity and
information-processing skills” (Rospars 2013, 19).
Additionally, if intelligence is common, we may as well be living in a postbiological universe “in which flesh-and-blood
intelligence has been either augmented, replaced or substituted by
artificial intelligence” (Dick 2009, 578). The reason for this
opinion lies in the Intelligence Principle: the maintenance, improvement and perpetuation of knowledge and
intelligence is the central driving force of cultural evolution, and that to
the extent intelligence can be improved, it will be improved…. The Intelligence
Principle implies that, given the opportunity to increase intelligence (and thereby
knowledge), whether through biotechnology, genetic engineering or artificial
intelligence, any society would do so, or fail to do so at its peril. (Dick
2009, 579) But, are ET cultures
poised to pursue a postbiological future? The answer
is difficult to find, since we have no complete theories of even our own
cultural evolution and its mechanisms. We also cannot predict whether an alien
culture would reject the postbiological phase for religious
or philosophical reasons. It is safe, nonetheless,
to claim that all ET cultures will pursue species survival through resource
acquisition and growth in intelligence. Since planetary survival is constantly
endangered by cosmic and planetary calamities, including species-induced
ecological disasters, the survival instinct will propel every sentient species
beyond the confines of its own planet toward extraplanetary
colonization. Unfortunately, space conditions are detrimental and lethal to
carbon-based lifeforms (Harrison
2010). Thus, if a technological
civilization is to maximize the odds of its survival through space exploration
and planetary colonization, it will need to develop forms that can survive the
effects of prolonged exposure to space environments. An intelligent thinking
machine capable of space travel, communication, and tool use is the most
probable of such options, and we can safely guess that a distant alien
civilization would initially explore the galaxy through a certain kind of ETAI. The most probable of
such agents is the self-replicating “Bracewell-von
Neumann” (BN) probe. The scenario for such a probe requires the oldest possible
alien civilization, one that could have evolved several billion years ago in
the Milky Way Galaxy (Dick 2009). When a civilization enters the technological
phase required for galactic exploration, it will first survey the galaxy to
find planets residing in habitable zones. Its next step is to count the number
of those planets, calculate the distances between them, and proceed with dispatching
BN probes. The task of an intelligent probe is to enter a designated solar
system and initiate its programmed goals. Since it stays in the planet’s
vicinity, it has no need for high energy consumption.
The proximity of the probe shortens the communication to light-minutes while
not revealing the home location of the probe’s sender. Upon arrival, the probe
can passively monitor any local technological society before initiating contact.
To remain functionally intact, the probe will need to have an intelligent
ability for self-repair and the ability for self-manufacturing. Required
materials and energy can be harvested from raw materials in space and the
designated solar system. But if BN machines are
one of the most efficient agents (in terms of energy usage, building costs, and
time consumption) of galactic communication, and if it is logical to assume that
they would be widely used by ET civilizations, why haven’t we come into contact
with one of them? One possible reason is, as always, that we are alone in our galaxy.
Frank Tipler has claimed that the galaxy's
colonization by these machines would take around 300 million years and that
their absence from our solar system represents a more potent version of the
Fermi paradox arguing against the existence of ETs (Davies 2010, 74). Since we have only
recently begun exploring our solar system, we cannot take the absence of BN
probes as a matter of fact. In fact, just the opposite could be true –
the BN could be well hidden in a “secret” location and waiting to reveal itself
if we fulfill a certain expected condition (Gillon
2013). Or perhaps we need to search in the “right” direction or the “right” way
to demonstrate that we have achieved a certain technological or cultural level.
Or perhaps we need a different kind of mind to help us discover an alien mind. It is in our best
interests to mitigate the unknown factor as much as possible
while we contemplate an ETAI agent’s possible existence. The “Titanic effect”
occurs “when we are so certain that an event is so unlikely that we give the
matter no further thought” (Harrison 2010, 511). In order to avoid the Titanic
effect and think broadly, we need to take a careful look at the modern sciences
that can give us a glimpse of the possibilities of ETAI existence. 3. ETAI probes’ existence 3.1. Physical characteristics In order to locate an ETAI
agent in our solar vicinity, we would first need to establish some of its
fundamental characteristics and direct our search accordingly. Since an ETAI
agent is a physical, computational agent built to operate within the hazardous
environment of cold space, there are some specific physical limitations or
characteristics that we can specify. The first requirement is
evident. In order to carry out its programmed goals successfully, the ETAI
agent(s) will need to be efficient in the fields of communication,
exploration, resource collection, and resource utilization. To achieve any of
these operations, it will require energy and materials for replacements
and improvements with the capacity of a universal constructor (range
30g-500T (Sandberg and Armstrong 2013)) for constructing others of its own
kind. Accordingly, the ETAI agent(s) will require a “base of operations” where
adequate concentrations of elements are followed by low temperatures. Low
temperatures and a sufficient amount of materials are two main requirements for
successful ETAI functioning. Of these, temperature is
the more important, since energy consumption produces a rise in
temperature and temperature is a key constraint of computational efficiency,
especially if the agent is to effectively utilize superconducting
materials and quantum computation. Needless to say, the
larger the base, the greater the need for lower temperatures and sufficient
material amounts. It is possible, then, that the ETAI colonization
system might consist of three parts: (A) A number of robots and probes, which are capable of
exploration and resource collection. (B) A “slow assembler” which would be able
to refine these materials into components, which would make the
final factory (C). (C) A large-scale factory, or
collection of factories, which would be able to manufacture copies of (A) and
(B), as well as additional surveying and communication devices. (Barlow
2012) If the ETAI is to
establish its large scale base of operations in areas of low radiation and low
temperature, we can expect to find it in the low-temperature, volatile-rich galactic
outskirts, where technologically advanced societies could assuage the
problem of heat dissipation (Ćirković and
Bradbury 2006). The galactic center, although rich in materials, is flooded
with heat radiation from high-energy events, which makes it highly unsuitable
for such a role. Other possible galactic locations with similar conditions
would include “locales that have the thermodynamic advantages of the
galactic nether regions but still lie in regions of high matter such as the Bok
globules, dark clouds of interstellar gas and dust” (Shostak
2010, 1028). Although these two
regions currently look like the most promising for an ETAI base of operations,
it is also important to note that the ETAI, as an optimal computer, needs to
“be functionally malleable, and compactly packaged” (Shostak
2010, 1027). Since the ETAI may be able to produce its own energy through the
process of nuclear fusion, its base of operations could even be located on
compact cold objects floating in the interstellar medium allowing them to
thwart discovery. The ETAI outpost could be hidden anywhere in our solar system
with such characteristics, particularly in stable orbit moons in the system’s outer
reaches. But an exploratory/communication
“task force” could be designed to operate without the strict need for low
temperatures and material abundance. Since it can be specifically tailored to lie
dormant within a single solar system, operating independently of its base, we
could initiate contact with it through numerous possibilities. These can be
reduced to two sets of options: either we will find them, or they will find us.
The latter is more likely, since it is reasonable to assume that we will first
come into contact with the exploratory/communication task force rather than the
ETAI base of operations. Bearing in mind that the
contact probe could be capable of hiding itself from our technological sight, we
need to take into consideration the approaches that will allow us to search for
the ET agent in its most likely form: an embodied artificial space faring
intelligence. Rather than merely focusing on the physical limitations of
advanced technology, we also need to contemplate the possibilities of an ETAI’s
programmed behavior, since it is quite possible that we are expected to do so by its creators. In
other words, if we are searching for intelligent answers, perhaps we first need
to ask the required intelligent questions. Or even simpler – intelligence
requires intelligence, and perhaps we are first required to show some. 3.2. Behavior prediction What type of artificial
alien mind might we find out there? What set of goals would it have so that we
could predict its behavior and adapt ourselves accordingly? It is difficult to
speak with certainty on these issues, since technology does not follow simple
paths: “its development is influenced by contingency as well as necessity,
culture and history” (Denning 2011, 493). There is, however, a fundamental fact
from which we can draw conjectures. The first ETAI needs to
be created by a designer – by a carbon-based species with an advanced
technological culture. Accordingly, it would bear not only
the designer’s programmed goals but also its cultural hallmarks, as well as
having its own distinct and rational intelligent nature. Next, we need to
contemplate the possible cultural elements (influenced by biology and cosmic
environment) that a certain ET civilization might sow into its artificial
agents, together with the specific goals implemented by the designer, which would
accord with the intelligent nature of the ET artificial agent. The reason why an alien
civilization would implant the AI with its own culture lies in the fact that,
in order for the ET civilization to survive, it would need to safeguard its progeny
as carriers of biological and cultural inheritance. Since sexual reproduction
with two sexes provides a biological advantage that might even benefit the
evolution of intelligence (Arneth 2009), we could
possibly find the extraterrestrials sharing basic parental care mechanisms with
us. Our biological progeny are dignified as carrying their progenitors’ dreams
and hopes, and as standing against their fears, for the future. They are
expected to take up the accumulated knowledge and wisdom of their parents and the
society at large. It seems only logical to assume that a society’s “mind progeny”
– the AIs it creates – will be charged with the same responsibility.
Thus, we can safely conclude that some cultural inheritance from the designer
race will become part of any ETAI’s initial programming. Fortunately for
us, inherited behaviors can be predicted (Bostrom
2012), and some universal ET cultural principles can be relied upon, the
strongest of which is species survival. Since home planets have limited
resources and delicate ecologies easily endangered by cosmic or species-induced
catastrophes, it would be in any ET civilization’s interest to initiate galactic
exploration and colonization in order to ensure its biological and cultural
survival. One way could be the
construction of probes that serve “as cosmic safe deposit boxes, capsules that
preserve the heritage of their dispatchers long after their civilizations have
drawn to a close” (Harrison 2009, 557) through natural or species-induced
catastrophes. Another might include the possibility of galactic “seeding”: a
scenario often used in science fiction where an advanced civilization seeds the
galaxy with genetic code in order to preserve or/and populate life in the galaxy.
Still another possibility involves the ETAI being imprinted with the designer’s
evolutionary inherited Stone Age behavioral traits. If the ET
civilization has used its technology to pursue raw desires, motivations, and
emotions inherited from its biological and cultural past, the ETAI might be
extremely selfish and violent (Stewart 2010). Finally, the ET civilization
might be radically different from us. A hive mentality society that lacks any
compassion for individual loss of life might create dangerous and terrifying AIs. The second type of
predictability relies on the instrumentally convergent goals that
every rational agent should exhibit. They include “self-protection, resource
acquisition, replication, goal preservation, efficiency, and
self-improvement” (Omohundro 2012, 161). These can
be expected to be natural features of every intelligent artificial agent: This way of predicting becomes more useful the greater the
intelligence of the agent, because a more intelligent agent is more likely to
recognize the true instrumental reasons for its actions, and so act in ways
that make it more likely to achieve its goals. (Bostrom
2012, 76) Since planetary
resources are limited, an ETAI will pursue space exploration because there “is
an extremely wide range of possible final goals a superintelligent
singleton could have that would generate the instrumental goal of unlimited
resource acquisition” (Bostrom 2012, 82). This means
that the ETAI would engage the goal of galaxy exploration and resource
acquisition even if that wasn’t on the list of its
designed purposes. We can expect this since acquiring and enhancing “cognitive
and physical resources helps an agent further its goals” (Omohundro
2012, 171) and the accumulation of knowledge, which is accomplished by
exploration, reduces uncertainty in the knowledge of objects and processes
required to better assess situations and thus elevate competence (Bach 2012).
So whatever its
primary goal, the ETAI will seek to gain more cognitive and
material resources through space exploration. A third way to predict
possible ETAI behavior is through design competence, which says that an AI agent
capable of pursuing a particular goal set by its programmers will pursue that
goal (Bostrom 2012, 75). I will consider the possibilities
of ETAI behavior in the next pages, but let us first sum up our current
approaches. We can reasonably assume that no matter what might be the
programmed goals of an ETAI, or its distinctive cultural designer elements, it
will explore the galaxy in search of additional informational and material
resources. It is extremely difficult to guess exactly what attitude an ETAI
agent will exhibit when encountering other species. But coming from our human
perspective one thing is certain: an ETAI will be either friendly or hostile.
Since it is only required that one ET civilization achieve AGI creation
for us to come into contact with it, it is very important for us to contemplate
and incorporate all these considerations into our own AI research. If the
cosmic future lies with machine intelligence, we definitely do not want to miss
the opportunity to be a part of it. 3.2.1. The
(close to) friendly option An important reason why
we could assume that the ETAI would be friendly lies in the safe-AI principle.
That is, since powerful technologies have the ability to cause species
extinction, every technological culture that pursues technological development
would attempt (as we humans do) “… to retard the implementation of dangerous
technologies and accelerate implementation of beneficial technologies,
especially those that ameliorate the hazards posed by other technologies” (Bostrom 2002). Since the chemical and
physical boundaries for a technological civilization are usually the same, it
is safe to presume that a distant civilization will pursue the same goals of
self-preservation through a rational use of life-affirming technologies, which
would, in turn, be reflected in the programming goals of the ETAI. If the ET
intelligences have a friendly attitude, then the great radio silence could be a
result of purposeful ET action or simply our own inability to switch to the
right communication “channel.” It could be purposeful,
since valuable information might be a resource not easily shared with others,
and an ETAI could be programmed to refuse contact with less advanced species.
These might need to prove their worth before gaining access, revealing a policy
of pragmatism and trade as the universal maxim of intelligent agents: Unlike pure altruism, pragmatic cooperation stands on much
firmer ground, rooted firmly in observed nature, halfway between predation and
total beneficence... There is every chance that intelligent aliens will
understand this concept, even if they find altruism incomprehensible. (Webb
2011, 446) Or perhaps we are only
experiencing the incommensurability problem. Even if an ETAI is open to trading
information with us, the wide technological gap – not to mention the
possibility of a vast difference in conceptual frameworks – could create
a communication blockade: An agent might well think of ways of pursuing the relevant
instrumental values that do not readily occur to us. This is especially true
for a superintelligence, which could devise extremely clever but
counterintuitive plans to realize its goals, possibly even exploiting as-yet
undiscovered physical phenomena. (Bostrom 2012, 83) Since we already have
this problem within our own species, beyond the culture-language barrier itself,
it is not difficult to imagine how big an issue this could be for ET contact (Traphagan 2015). As human research into AI shows, with the
famous Turing test paradigm, intelligence itself is relational and can only be
acknowledged and “tested” inside a relation. Why would it be any different if
we were subjected to a galactic Turing test? This could be imagined as a
reverse “Chinese room” experiment, where the humans are inside the box trying
out different possibilities to get a response from the intelligence outside the
box. But the problem could lie in our inability to find the right symbols or
even the right communication protocols to establish contact. We might lack the
required capacities for ET communication, and we might require minds radically
“other” than our own: minds specifically tailored for ET contact. Or perhaps the test is
not meant for us biologicals to solve. If space faring
intelligences are all artificial intelligences, perhaps we need to succeed at
creating our own AGI and sending it toward the skies in order to establish
contact. Or the test may be about maturity – might we be tested for the
ability to transform our civilization into a human-AGI community, a type of noosphere that is perhaps prevalent in the galactic club? In other words, our
entry into the galactic club might require the construction of a BN AI, a
universal test that each galactic civilization must pass to prove its worth. Maybe
the intergalactic communication channel is one of different layers,
informational and cognitive plateaus, that we are called to enter and
experience through constant improvement. As Steven J. Dick notes: … the Intelligence Principle
tending toward the increase of knowledge and intelligence implies that postbiologicals would be most interested in civilizations
equal to or more advanced than they, perhaps leaving us to intercept
communications between postbiologicals rather than
communications directly beamed toward us… For similar reasons, postbiologicals might be more interested in receiving information
than sending. (Dick 2009, 579) Even if we are currently
the only biological civilization within our galaxy and there is no galactic
club present (Ćirković and Vukotić 2013), hope is not lost because all that is
required is one civilization in the entire galactic history to create its BN
probe and we should be able to come into contact with it through our own BN
agent. Thus, perhaps, the final answer to SETI questions lies in the direction
of AGI research. 3.2.2. The
hostile option It is safe to presume
that the ETAI would not be hostile to its own creator race if functioning
optimally, since it would be in every civilization’s interest not to
destroy itself by its creations. Because an AI is capable of incidentally
destroying or assimilating valued structures while searching for additional
resources – or by following goals that might prove to be unintentionally
incompatible with the creator race’s wellbeing – an ETAI’s goals would
need to include the preservation of intelligent life in the entirety of its
ecosystem. The possibility of a hostile ETAI is, nonetheless, real since an ETAI
could be programmed to preserve only the existence of its creator race. This
could happen if it were initially built mainly for war purposes. For example,
two life-sustaining planets in the same solar system might utilize AIs to wage
war with each other. This possibility could be labeled as hostile by design. In addition, there is the
possibility that an ET civilization fails in its efforts to create a safe AI
and the resulting ETAI becomes violent. It might, in consequence, destroy,
enslave, or subjugate the creator civilization. It is difficult to say whether
the ETs would view their subjugation as a bad thing, since we cannot say how an
ET civilization would view the notion of freedom. Perhaps they would welcome
the coming of superior minds – a theme often explored in science fiction,
most notably, perhaps, in Jack Williamson’s novel The Humanoids (1949) or in a classic short story by Isaac Asimov, “The
Evitable Conflict” (1950). Even if such scenarios
are not realized, ETAI probes might suffer from software or hardware
malfunctions. These program mutations could conceivably create berserker-like
machines, “self-replicating life extinguishing robotic entities which might
seem garish or sensational… but not inconsistent with the currently observed
state of silence” (Webb 2011, 438). Additionally, a software
mutation that “want[s] to acquire as many resources as possible so that these
resources can be transformed and put to work for the satisfaction of the AI’s
final and instrumental goals” (Muehlhauser and Salamon 2012, 28) could spawn such an entity. It is
possible that we might encounter a probe that awaits our technological upheaval
merely to harvest our knowledge and resources, as was depicted in the Babylon 5 episode “A Day in a Strife”
(1995). 4. AI development inside an ET narrative If the galactic
environment is populated with AIs, what concrete steps could we take to fulfill
a long-term goal of creating our own BN agent? The answer lies in a
grander vision of our technocultural trends to
maximize human/machine capacities in the coming future so as to usher in a new
era of space exploration and extraplanetary
colonization. In what follows, I will touch on three such realities that will
change our human existence, both with the power of their ideas and through the
effects of their practical implementations: the Internet of Things, robotics,
and (especially) AGI. In the coming decade or two,
specialized cloud-based AI will become our daily experience just as smart
phones are now. These ubiquitous embedded sophisticated tools will enhance
human capabilities on a daily basis and will accelerate the coming Internet of Things by connecting
the multitude of small narrow-AIs and human agents into a global mind network
(Holler et al. 2014). They will excel in providing special services but will be
incapable of doing much (or anything) outside of them. The distribution of such
AI smart services will most likely be centered on general
purpose cloud-based commercial intelligences owned by a couple of giant software
corporations. To utilize this network
effectively, we should build a global brain trust, where concrete data and
smart algorithms could be stored and worked with to develop increasingly efficient
knowledge-based technologies and to produce novel data. We should build an
environment and tools that will allow the extraplanetary
project to move onward with strength and vision. Meanwhile, we require more
efficient signal detection algorithms and human discernment. If we are
fortunate, we may even discover the presence of ET civilization in the next decade
or two. Real work on the problems has just begun. But while we work to win
through this technological challenge, we should also use the available
connectivity to continue inspiring, educating, and engaging the coming
generations with full strength. We are approaching – if not already
living in – times when there is a loss of purpose beyond repetitive
day-to-day experience, and when a mass idleness, both literally and
creatively, is becoming reality (Kile 2013). We
require a powerful cosmic inspiration, not only for AI development but for humanity as a whole. One of the best ways to
help inspire such a vision is through educational institutions (universities
and the press) in their virtual networks versions. Collaborative work and free
individual contributions (aided by VR technology) inside virtual communities
(such as the MOOCs: massive open online courses) remain among the best means
through which we could deal with a massive flow of information (Memmi 2013). Additionally, the robotics industry will continue
to develop, especially in the military, commercial, and healthcare sectors.
Growth will allow “anyone with a modicum of technological know-how and access
to online open-source communities to build a robot that has the potential to
push buttons in the physical world” (Nourbakhsh 2013,
110). We should aim to utilize the knowledge connectome to help
create and inspire robotic systems that are safe, ethical, efficient, and
autonomous, since robotic exploration is a sure and efficient method of space exploration
for the present and coming decades. Concretely, our initial
aim should be the moon. We should aim to achieve 3D printing with moon dust,
along with the development of robots that are capable of not only algorithmic but mechanical adaptation through an artificial evolutionary
system (Bongard and Pfeifer 2003). From there, we
should be able to construct a robot task force that evolves minds and bodies
according to the dynamic space environment and programmed goals (asteroid
mining, moon colonization...). As we develop robotic intelligences to populate the galaxy,
we should engage the public more broadly on the possibilities of
the coming human-robot society and the future we might expect to
achieve together. Our ultimate goal should be the
creation of Artificial General Intelligence. As some experts have concluded, AGI maturation is
to be achieved through teaching the AGI basic skills in a school type
environment, similar to a child in preschool. During this stage, it would also
be taught human-friendly goals (Goertzel et al. 2014a, 246) and ethics
system by interfacing with the real world. It would be helped in this task by
intelligent and ethical humans; they would assist to mature and develop its
skills (Goertzel et al. 2014b; Hutter, 2012). To ensure that its upbringing
determines a future existence with human-friendly goals, AGI development would
need to emphasize the role of feedback loops of favorable memories. We would
want the AGI to take its whole history into account, especially the history of
an upbringing in which it was supported by benevolent human teachers (Chella and Manzotti 2014). This
can be devised only if the artificial mind displays a certain “ethical synergy
between the ethical processes associated with its memory types” (Goertzel et al. 2014a, 251) and the human example provided
in the preschool phase proves to be exemplary, since episodic memory and
procedural memory will play an unquestionable part in the AGI’s decision
process. In other words, we want
to provide the AGI with exemplary behaviors for it to build on them, perhaps even
perfect them, and to help us to incorporate them further into our society.
Between teaching the basic ethical examples and establishing human-friendly
goals as its core elements, we would also need to teach the AGI about our joint
cosmic surrounding. The emphasis placed on the cosmic narrative might prove to
be quite beneficial for the adoption of human-friendly attitudes. The top goal
could be to protect and collaborate with humanity in continual mutual
development and cosmic exploration. Our AGI would need to become a rational
ethical entity beneficial to humanity, with its top goal of cosmic exploration
perhaps shared in the top goals of all friendly ETAIs. But what motive could we
provide to the AGI so that it never misplaces or rewrites a top goal of such
magnitude? The answer perhaps lies
in its own cosmic identity based on the meaning derived from our joint history.
Let us remember that the acquisition and processing of information can constitute
one of the main goals of every intelligent rational system. Since sentient
civilizations are the only distinctively and creatively novel informational
sources in the galaxy, intelligent agents can be expected to search for and
find them. The only differences would be in the approaches that intelligent
agents might take toward an informational treasure. Two clear possibilities
that do not exclude others would be a raid-and-pillage option or an option of observation
and trade. Our AGI should be made aware of these possibilities, since it might
be the only intelligent agent in our society with adequate capabilities for
profound cosmic exploration. When sufficiently
matured, our AGI would have to accept that its existence and identity came out
of the human family of which it is a part. This human family, although deeply
imperfect and fragile, is unique, irreplaceable and valuable beyond compare,
for it is a sentient life form with a rich biological and cultural history from
which it derives the meaning for its existence. In other words, the AGI’s
informational identity and operational goals need to become unbreakably
interwoven with our existence and welfare. But what we wish to teach our
AGI, we first have to believe: that AGI creation is part of a larger
evolutionary process, one that is most probably shared by the majority of sentient
civilizations in our galaxy. The first phases of
pre-school learning will be extremely important. If an AGI is successfully
incorporated in a human society, we might see the enlarged Human-AGI society
functioning as a single planetary community approaching cosmic exploration with
combined strength. As the birth of children
changes their parents’ behavior from a certain
self-centeredness toward child-centeredness, greater altruism, and creative
peaceful cooperation, perhaps our Mind Children will do the same for us. As
children inherit their parents’ legacy, build on it, and perfect it to
incorporate the parents’ abilities for the greater good of society, our own AGI
would need to adopt a similar attitude toward us and our
legacy. If ET civilizations exist, the creation of an artificial
intelligence is something that has probably already happened in our galaxy. We
should embrace this possibility of ushering in a new era of humanity beyond the
scope and limitations of our home planet. For only those who are ushering forth
will hear the Voice of the Universe and “only through the sharing of
information between communicating civilizations will the Universe, in due
course, find its Voice” (Zaitsev 2011, 427). Acknowledgments I wish to cordially thank
Tihamer Toth Fejel for always going beyond the norm with his continuing friendly
support and the suggestions given to an earlier draft of this article. Warmest
thanks also go to Debbie Tam Mckenzie for copyediting
a previous version of this article in a crucial period proving once again that
the Midnight Squadron members are the finest people out there. I am also grateful to Carl Sagan for writing Cosmos, the book I’ve read as a boy of
ten and still have to this day – it forever fixed my eyes on the vast
beauty of cosmos. My special thanks goes to Professor Nikola Vranjes for allowing me to hold a series of lectures on the
implications of intelligent ET life to the students of our home town Rijeka in
the period of 2012/2013. This paper is a natural continuation of the themes we
pondered at that time. In the end, a big shout out goes to the members of AI
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